20/10b. Clinton Woes

3 04 2008

It seems tougher and tougher for Clinton to win the Democratic elections as we sail through each primary. Ever since Super Tuesday, the cry for her to drop out of the race has been ringing louder and louder with each passing vote, and the ballots seem to cast that way too. The gap between her and Obama never came close, and she’s losing more superdelegates by the day. By AP’s count, Clinton has 250 superdelegates endorsement while Obama trails at 218. Despite this, Obama leads by well over 100 delegates on the overall, approximately 3-4% of total delegates committed.

There has been talks by the local media on how Clinton has to close up the gaps in order to remain in the race. Prior to the mini-tuesday last month, speculations and analysts said that Clinton had to win major states like Texas & Ohio in order to stay in the race. She did win, but didn’t win ‘big’ enough to catch up. She won a mere 13 more delegates collectively than Obama in both states, a margin that’s barely worth mentioning.

So now, the media still maintain their age-old forecasting methods: Clinton has to win ‘big’ (once again) in both Pennsylvania and North Carolina, both relatively delegate-rich states, or depend on an Obama-trip-up to help herself. Of course, only if she doesn’t sabotage herself by attacking the trip-up shamelessly.

Realistically speaking, I think the only way that Clinton may get into office is to hold a joint ticket with someone else. She has effectively canceled out the possibility of an Obama-Clinton ticket with all the aggressive and divisive campaign tactics since Feb 5th, and speculations of how an Obama-Al Gore ticket would prove winner for the Dems. With the charisma of Obama and the track record of Al Gore, McCain would have to search hard for an assistant that could match up to that prowess and debunking the damn-you-GOP mentality, no thanks to Bush.

With people rallying around the Obama joint ticket with anyone else but Clinton, it’s no wonder that Clinton may feel like the odd one out, like a girl without a dance partner at a prom. And somehow, Clinton seems pretty in limbo at the moment, being too late in the game to withdraw, and too far behind to actually have a decent possibility of victory. In retrospect I feel like at least Huckabee may have felt better at his loss – at least he was sticking around to the end as a matter of principle. But for Clinton, it seems like fate’s playing an evil trick on her, by keeping her so near and yet so far from being the first Mdm President.


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2 responses

5 04 2008
leigh

it just struck me that you’re in the country with firsthand knowledge of the elections. india seems so very far away, from life and reality!

5 04 2008
erictric

You make it sound like India is a paradise, completed detached from all the buzz of the world.

But well, the debate’s pretty hot on the Internet too. The US news-sites are probably even more informative than their newspapers. The difference, is probably what we get out of the talking and debating with the Americans on what they feel abt their own politics. It’s pretty amazing what you get to hear sometimes.

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